Preparing for School Attacks
by Richard Fairburn and Lt. Col. David Grossman
For those who thought school attacks were a thing of the past, the recent active shooter incident in Montreal, Canada and disrupted attack in Green Bay, Wisconsin signaled a loud wake-up call. Just a few days later, hostages were taken in a school in Bailey, Colorado with tragic results and a principle was killed by a student in a Sauk County, Wisconsin high school. As of this printing, a student in Las Vegas, Nevada took a gun to school, but was deterred prior to any violence and Nickel Mines, Pennsylvania was the site of the murder and shooting of several young Amish school girls. The Bailey, Colorado incident was horribly ironic in that a SWAT team from neighboring Jefferson County (the agency in charge of the Columbine response) was called upon to make the hostage rescue.
Our school children are at risk from angry students and determined terrorists. After the Columbine high school attack of 1999, many police agencies adopted and trained some form of rapid deployment tactics for responding to an active shooter. However, with lack of use and memory fade, many departments have allowed their edge to become dull. We must program school protection permanently onto our emergency response hard drives.
Understand the Problem
The world watched what happened September 1, 2004, in Beslan, Russia with stunned disbelief, but it has happened in many other nations. Turkey has had over 300 schools destroyed by terrorist attacks. Pakistan, Algeria and many other nations, in addition to Russia, have experienced brutal school massacres committed by terrorist groups. The groups perpetrating these attacks shared common motivations—the same motivations as the attacks of September 11, 2001.
One of the most tragic and devastating terrorist acts in Israel was the Ma’alot school massacre in 1974, in which 21 Israeli children were murdered in a brutal terrorist attack that set the stage for subsequent school attacks. As a result, Israel has lived for 30 years with armed security in every school, armed guards on every field trip and sporting event, armored buses and armed security on those buses. Can anyone comprehend what it would cost the United States to have that kind of security for every school, every field trip and every bus in America?
Lt. Col. Dave Grossman co-authored an article published in the Harvard Journal of Law and Public Policy, which stated that if a series of active shooter terrorist attacks happened in the US, as they have in Israel, we will arm ourselves and get on with life—just like Israel. But, you can’t arm the kids! Even Israel can’t arm its children. If a major terrorist attack on a school is successful, the terrorists can impact every family and every school in America, disrupting our economy and way of life unlike any other conventional attack. It is our job to prevent that and to protect our children.
A police response to a terrorist attack may need to be very different from what would work with an incident committed by students. In an August 2002 Pakistani incident, one armed guard drove off four armed terrorists attacking a Christian school. On the contrary, the attackers at Beslan in 2004, were heavily armed and determined to achieve a huge body count—which they accomplished. One well armed responder might drive off or delay a small-scale terrorist attack, but a well prepared terrorist team could overwhelm all but a military-level response team. The possibility of terrorists in the US assembling 30 armed attackers without detection is unlikely, but must be taken into consideration.
The sky is not falling. This is only one of many things terrorists could do. If we over react; if we change our way of life because of the threat of school massacres, we give way to fear and the terrorists get the victory they desire without having to fire a shot. So, we must strike a balance between preparing for an unthinkable horror without giving way to unreasoned fear. We must respond with a balanced and reasonable “all hazards” approach to this threat. The odds of a school attack in your community are admittedly low. The odds of any given police officer being shot making a traffic stop are also low, yet we train for that eventuality on a regular basis. We must train and prepare, no matter the likelihood. To ignore the threat is to live in denial.
Consider these Five D’s
Deter – Have alert, visible and armed security on site. Train and equip response teams to a high standard and make their capabilities known (though the details of their response techniques should remain classified). Convince the potential attacker he won’t succeed in killing innocent targets if he comes to your locale.
Detect – Like detectives, be vigilant for clues. Virtually every school attacker, student or terrorist conducts extensive reconnaissance of their target. They will analyze the availability of ingress and egress points. Questions will be asked about the site’s security preparations. They may photograph and/or sketch the area. Both human and video surveillance can help you pattern these recon missions.
Delay – Harden targets with security checkpoints and random security patrols. Drill lockdown procedures to remove easy targets from the potential kill zone. Make sure the lock-down procedure includes the means to lock the doors to areas of refuge. Avoid the urge to evacuate anyone into an area not proven to be safe from potential snipers or bombs.
Destroy – If they still choose your site as their target, you must respond quickly and forcefully. An analysis of active shooter incidents by Richard Fairburn suggests that even a rapid deployment team is unlikely to assemble in time to save lives.1 In most incidents, the only chance to save lives is an instant response by on-scene personnel or the first arriving officer. At this point, we are not just seeking to defeat the attackers. One of the lessons of the 2004 Russian school massacre, as outlined in John Giduck’s excellent book, Terror at Beslan, is that we must attack immediately, with maximum violence, and no intention of pulling back or giving up ground. Attack the enemy hard and fast and destroy them before they destroy more innocents.
Make a Plan
Most schools and response agencies now strongly recommend a policy of lockdown. When we consider how both fire alarms and bomb threats have been used to evacuate victims into the kill zone of a prepared ambush, perhaps a lockdown is the best initial response to any school threat. Lockdown drills, like fire drills, are now mandated for schools in some states. Pre-plan your site. Staging areas, command post locations and reunification sites should be predetermined. All resources scheduled to respond to your school should be part of periodic drills—actual hands-on drills, not tabletop exercises.
Choose and Train your People Well
Train your SROs to respond effectively to a threat either alone or as a two-officer team, joining the first arriving patrol officer. Consider the controversial option of pre-positioning protective gear and a carbine for these officers in a secure onsite location. We owe these guardians the best survival odds we can provide. Train rapid deployment techniques to the entire department. This training should be as stressful and realistic as possible, including difficult surroundings, live role players and paintball-type gunfight simulations. Team training must be refreshed at least annually to maintain these perishable skills.
Train your first-line supervisors to quickly take command at a school violence incident. The supervisor’s first duty is to conduct a rapid assessment and sort through the confusing flood of initial intelligence. Their quick analysis of the situation will drive a hasty risk assessment to determine if a response by a single officer or rapid deployment team has a chance to reach and neutralize an active shooter. In most cases, we must take immediate action to stop the killing. However, if the on-scene commander identifies a situation like Beslan, with numerous, heavily armed attackers, a delaying action may be the best he can achieve with limited resources.
The situation is very much like fire protection. The probability of a student being killed or seriously injured by violence is significantly greater than the probability of being killed or seriously injured by fire. No child has been killed by school fire in North America in over a quarter of a century, but in the 2004/2005 school year, 48 people were murdered in American schools. These are usually random acts of violence or shootings by students, as opposed to acts of terrorism, but the defense against terrorist attacks in our schools is largely the same as the defense against school shootings.
Our children are dozens of times more likely to be killed by violence than fire, and thousands of times more likely to be seriously injured by violence as compared to fire. Yet, in any school you can look around and see fire sprinklers, smoke alarms, fire exits and fire extinguishers. If we can spend all that money and time preparing for fire, shouldn’t we spend time and money preparing for the thing that is far more likely to kill or injure a child?
The most negligent, unprofessional words anyone can ever say are: “It will never happen here.” When someone asks, “Do you really think there will be a terrorist act or a school shooting here?” Just point to the fire exit and say, “Do you really think there will be a fire here?” No, we don’t think there will ever be a fire here. But we would be morally and criminally negligent if we did not prepare for it. And, unfortunately, the same is far more true of school violence.
About a month after the 9-11 terrorist attacks, Col. Grossman was training a group of special operations troops who were headed to Afghanistan. A Special Forces sergeant came up during one of the breaks and said, “Colonel, we’re going to Afghanistan, and we’re gonna kick their tails. While we’re over there, you tell all those folks you teach, don’t let them come kill our kids.”
Our servicemen are over there dying for us every day, trying to keep the terrorists on the defense or as one Marine put it, “To keep it ta hell over there!” The troops believe in what they are doing and they only ask one thing: “Watch my back and do your job—don’t let them come kill my kids.” That is what this article is about, and that is what we should be about. Every day, millions of parents hug children and send them to school, trusting us to keep them alive. So don’t just read this article and the books recommended here, apply them!2 Be like the firefighter—put the risk in perspective, pray that it will never happen, know that it could happen and work with all your heart and soul to prevent it from happening.
About the Authors
Lt. Col. Dave Grossman, US Army (Ret.) is a West Point psychlogy professor, professor of military science and an Army Ranger. He is the author of On Killing, On Combat and Stop Teaching Our Kids to Kill. Grossman is the director of the Killology Research Group (www.killology.com).
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